The Black Swan, Second Edition - The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Black Swans underlie everything - from the rise of religions to the astonishing success of Google, from events like 9/11 to our own personal lives.

Title
The Black Swan, Second Edition

Author(s)
,

Length
400 pages

Genre
Non-Fiction,Management,Economics,Trading,Business

Publisher
Random House Audio - Jan 08, 2019

Language
English

ISBN-10
141906200

The Book

In the book, the author presents the eponymous notion of The Black Swan - a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.

The book is divided into 19 chapters which cover an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. Taleb addresses key questions like why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur.


Rating
Green. Green only for the importance of the concept and its real-life impact - what forms probably 5% of the book. The rest of it is trash-talk and self-praise! Way too much trash-talk and self-praise spoiled it for me. Apart from the fact that the author suffers from Dunning Kruger effect the moment he steps beyond the study of uncertainty.

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